Machine Aggregation of
Human Judgment


AAAI Fall Symposium 2012
Arlington, Virginia
November 2-4, 2012

Overview

Program Committee

Accepted Papers

Invited Speakers

Important Dates

Registration & Hotel

Program Schedule

 



 

Friday November 2nd

9:00 am - 9:30 am

Welcome & Opening Remarks

09:30 am - 10:00 am

Pay by the Bit: An Information-Theoretic Metric for Collective Human Judgment

Tamsyn Waterhouse

10:00 am - 10:30 am

Judgement Swapping Improves Group Performance

Aidan Lyon, Fiona Fidler, and Mark Burgman

 

10:30 am - 11:00 am

Coffee Break

 

11:00 am - 11:30 am

Improving Predictions with Hybrid Markets

Yiftach Nagar, and Thomas W. Malone

11:30 am - 12:00 am

Improving Forecast Accuracy using Bayesian Network Decomposition in Prediction Markets

Anamaria Bera, Daniel Maxwell and Charles Twardy

12:00 am - 12:30 pm

Heuristics for Improving Forecast Aggregation

Clifton Forlines, Sarah Miller, Srinivasamurthy Prakash, and John Irvine

12:30 pm - 2 pm

Lunch

 

2:00 pm - 2:30 pm

Selective Sampling of Labelers for Approximating the Crowd

Seyda Ertekin, Haym Hirsh, and Cynthia Rudin

2:30 pm - 3:00 pm

Generalized Weighted Model Counting: An Efficient Monte-Carlo Meta-Algorithm

Lirong Xia

3:00 pm - 3:30 pm

On the complexity of bribery and manipulation in tournaments with uncertain information

Nicholas Mattei, Judy Goldsmith, and Andrew Klapper

3:30 pm - 4:00 pm

Coffee Break

 

4:00 pm - 5:30 pm

Invited Talk - Greg Siegle: The Promise of Crowd-sourcing and Artificial Intelligence in Psychiatric Neuroscience. (Abstract)

 

6:00 pm - 7:00 pm

Reception


Saturday November 3rd
 

9:00 am - 10:30 am

Invited Talk - Jason Matheny: Human, Machine, and Hybrid Models for Forecasting. (Abstract)

 

10:30 am - 11:00 am

Coffee Break

 

11:00 am - 11:30 am

The Good Judgment Project: A Large Scale test of Different Methods of Combining Expert Predictions

Lyle Ungar, Barbara Mellers, Jonathon Baron, Phil Tetlock, Jaime Ramos, and Sam Swift

 

11:30 am - 12:00 am

Estimating Diversity among Forecaster Models

H. Van Dyke Parunak, and Elizabeth Downs

 

12:00 am - 12:30 pm

Cluster-Weighted Aggregation

H. Van Dyke Parunak

 

12:30 pm - 2 pm

Lunch

 

2:00 pm - 3:30 pm

Panel Discussion

 

3:30 pm - 4:00 pm

Coffee Break

 

4:00 pm - 5:30 pm

Joint Invited Talk (with the SNSC Symposium) - V.S. Subrahmanian: Diffusion Centrality in Social Networks (Abstract)

 

6:00 pm - 7:30 pm

Plenary S ession


Sunday November 4th
 

9:00 am - 10:30 am

Select ACE Program Demos

 

10:30 am - 11:00 am

Coffee Break

 

11:00 am - 12:00 pm

Discussion and Closing Remarks

 

12:00 pm

Symposium ends